NetWar: Predictable Candidates? Perception Managers? Back to the Future


Contents Letter From Paris

Contents Letter From Paris


Friday, October 01, 2004

 

Predictable Candidates? Perception Managers? Back to the Future



Now, journalists often complain (particularly when having more than their fair share of booze) that their wives/husbands don’t understand them, their editors should sell shoes, and those *#*k!%6 politicians are just too #@k!%6 predictable, so what’s the point with loosing your time asking them questions if you know exactly what they’re going to answer.

Well, that may be so in many cases. Politicians were never portents of candor, but things are going from bad to worse with the irresistible rise of PR experts, image authorities and communication gurus.

Right now it is 5 pm ET in the States. In 4 hours (that’s 3 AM over here!), John Kerry and George W. Bush will be “debating” for the world to see and Americans to decide who’s the man that will call the White House home for the next four years. And some journalists are so weary that they have written things like the futuristic article below (Thanks Molotov) that is ricocheting around the Net.

Just let’s see tomorrow if there are many a divergence between this and what the NYT, WT, LAT etc. say…

Here it is.



CORAL GABLES, Fla. Sept. 30, 2004 — After a deluge of campaign speeches and hostile television ads, President Bush and challenger John Kerry got their chance to face each other directly Thursday night before an audience of tens of millions of voters in a high-stakes debate about terrorism, the Iraq war and the bloody aftermath.

    The 90-minute encounter was particularly crucial for Kerry, trailing slightly in the polls and struggling for momentum less than five weeks before the election. The Democratic candidate faced the challenge of presenting himself as a credible commander in chief after a torrent of Republican criticism that he was prone to changing his positions.

    Bush was expected to confront questions about leading the nation into war on the still-unproven premise that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction. He also has faced accusations that he lacked a strategy to deal with the violence and chaos that have left more than 1,000 Americans dead and that the Iraq war has diverted U.S. attention from al-Qaida and other terrorists.

    With a record of four years in office to defend, Bush had a debate strategy of being optimistic about Iraq but acknowledging that times were tough. His stance is that Americans know he is a decisive leader even if they don't always agree with his decisions and that Kerry has taken conflicting positions on Iraq and can't be trusted to lead the nation.

    Although Kerry voted to give Bush authority to invade Iraq, he says he would not have followed Bush's path to war a path that alienated allies and, the Democrat says, left Americans less secure. Kerry argues Bush is out of touch with reality, paints too rosy a picture about Iraq and lacks a strategy to end the crisis. Kerry also says Bush has neglected other major problems like North Korea and Iran, two nations suspected of pursing nuclear weapons.



    Kerry, in a taped interview on ABC's "Good Morning America" on Thursday, said, "George Bush is scaring America. He's talking terror every day, and people see terrible images of what's happening in the world, and they're real."

    Bush spent the morning comforting hurricane victims on his fifth survey of Florida areas hit by storms. At the Martin County, Fla., Red Cross center, Bush thanked volunteers for showing "the true heart of America. We long to help somebody when they're hurting."

    The debate's focus on Iraq was sharpened by bombings in Baghdad Thursday that killed three dozen children.

    Ahead in the polls, Bush could afford to settle for a debate draw while Kerry needed something to break the status quo. Some Democrats saw the debates as the last chance for a Kerry breakout.

    Thursday night's meeting at the University of Miami was the first of three Bush-Kerry debates over a two-week period. Neither side was underestimating its importance with a TV audience of 30 million to 40 million expected. Almost a third of people surveyed say the debates will be a deciding factor in how they vote.

    The first debate drew the nation's attention to hurricane-battered Florida and its political importance. Florida swung the presidency to Bush in the disputed 2000 election and could determine whether he wins re-election

    The debates were staged under a rigid set of rules negotiated by the candidates' representatives to limit spontaneity and opportunities for back-and-forth exchanges.



EXTRAORDINARY
Winds of Change

An example: this analysis of the March 11th attacks in Madrid, written 5 days later! Imposing.


STYGIUS
Inspiring, passionate and decent


Iraq, the Model
A very goodview of what is going on in Iraq by Mohammad and Omar, two brothers... Check it out if you're fed up with the EuroPress


The Patriot Debates
Many provisions of the USA PATRIOT Act will expire at the end of 2005. This forum is devoted to civil and informed debate about these provisions and whether they should be renewed.


IDEOFACT
A serious visit to jihadist ideology
[EN]


Michelle Malkin
Her column appears in nearly 200 US papers nationwide. Pretty conservative AND very articulate. I like her.


BarcePundit
From Barcelona. I like it! And, by the way, it's getting better every day.


Across the Bay
Very good blog by Tony, an expert in in Ancient Near Eastern Studies with focus on Semitic Linguistics, Ancient Levantine history, religion....


Allah Pundit
It's quite consevative, but really funny!


Bjørn Stærk's blog
In the NetWar since 2001, this norwegian wonderkid is just worth reading.


Norman Geras's blog
I mean, READ HIM. He's bright, insightful and knows a lot about Marxism and la condition humaine... Yeeees! (thanks Stygius).


Dan Darling
Excellent Open Source analysis of al Qaeda!


NO PASARÁN
Bilingual (FR&EN) and passionate!


The Politburo Diktat
Forthrightly, frankly, fully funny, comrades. Neo-Komintern Urgh.


Insults for use by the ideologically informed
Nice page of Real Socialist Nostalgia. Check it out, comrade!


Letters From New York City
Michele tells it from the place where the world changed three years ago.


Alphabet City by Robert Stevens
Very well informed "from the perimeter of Manhattan ;-)" Impresive collection of links.


Colt's Eurabia
If you want to know and follow politically incorrect debate, red it!
His motto is:"...the only secure basis for oligarchy is collectivism." George Orwell


Rantingprofs
Monitoring Media Coverage of the War On Terror


Political Correctness Watch
John Ray, a former university teacher gone blogger monitors political correctness around the globe. When you needthat cheering information that somewhere else it's even worse than in your home town...


BLOGS EN ESPAÑOL


Free Lance Corner
Emilio Alonso, madrileño sin pelos en la pluma, liberal y extremadamente sensato.


Guerra Eterna en Oriente Medio
Reportero español polí­ticamente correcto, buena gente y suavemente partisano


MONTMARTRE
Español residente en Parí­s, liberal, vasco, polí­ticamente incorrecto, reflexiona sobre la situación en Euskadi (Paí­s Vasco)


Carmelo Jordá
Otro español, buen analista y políticamente incorrecto. Pertenece a la nueva ola de jovenes liberales (en el sentido europeo) que empiezan a poner en cuestión todo en Europa


Una Temporada en el Infierno
Interesante blog de Juan Pedro Quiñonero, escritor y periodista español que merece dos lecturas.



Name:
Location: Paris, France

I have been a journalist since I was 22. For a (long) while I worked as a reporter for the Swedish, Spanish (I was born in Spain) and American media, covering international affairs... After 1991 I recycled myself to the business press.


 A Must Read!
LINK TO JOHN ARQUILLA and David F. RONFELDT'S THE ADVENT OF NETWAR
Note that on the above page you have BOTH a link to buy the book (US$ 20) AND
the links to all the 6 chapters in PDF for FREE.

Contents (PDF)
Preface
Summary
Acknowledgments
Chapter One: Introduction
Chapter Two: Conceptual Outlines
Chapter Three: A World in Flux - Ripe for Netwar Chapter Four: Varieties of Netwar
Chapter Five: Challenges for U.S Policy and Organization
Chapter Six: Implications for U.S. Doctrine and Strategy
Bibliography




And, by the way...
 
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